The Liberia Elections 2023 hold immense significance for the nation’s democratic journey, and this poll seeks to provide valuable insights into the perspectives, concerns, and aspirations of the Liberian people, fostering transparency and accountability within the electoral process.

Key Findings: Liberia 2023 Elections Survey

State of the Nation:

• The survey reflects a lack of confidence in the government’s capacity to address Liberia’s challenges, with 65.85% expressing low to very low trust levels.
• A significant majority (78.3%) perceive corruption as prevalent within the government and public institutions.
• The survey portrays a challenging socio-economic landscape, with 81% describing the current state of poverty as severe.
• Employment challenges are prevalent, as nearly 92% find it challenging to secure stable work.

Women in Leadership:

• 84.88% of respondents believe there is a need for more representation of women in political and leadership roles.

ECOWAS Awareness:

• 63.9% are aware to some degree of the role and importance of ECOWAS in the region, highlighting the need for continued public awareness efforts.

2023 Elections:

• 54.15% of respondents feel “very much informed” about the forthcoming elections.
• Radio (72.93%) and social media (71.95%) are the primary sources of election-related information.
• Confidence in the fairness and transparency of the election process is diverse, with 40.7% expressing low confidence levels.

Voter Registration and Turnout:

• An overwhelming 98% of respondents are registered voters, with 99% planning to vote in the upcoming elections.

Factors Influencing Voter Choices:

• Leadership qualities (92%), experience (72%), and policies (66%) are pivotal factors in candidate selection, while tribe (14%) and party affiliation (11%) have lesser influence.

Download the free, comprehensive research report.

Interactive Dashboard:

Dive deeper into the survey findings in the interactive dashboard below, which enables you to filter each question’s results by gender, age group and county.

Methodology and Assumptions

The 2023 Liberian Elections opinion poll was conducted from August 20 to October 3, 2023, encompassing all counties in Liberia through mobile web. GeoPoll Mobile web surveys are sent to respondents via an initial text message or other channel containing a link to a mobile web survey. Mobile web surveys are popular because they allow for more complex question types than SMS. While they require the respondent to have a data (internet) connection, they do not require a smartphone.

However, considering that this survey was conducted via mobile web links, please be aware that it may not be fully representative of the Liberian population. The sample predominantly comprises connected or online individuals, which may introduce bias towards more educated, urban demographics, potentially underrepresenting less affluent, illiterate, elderly, or populations without access to internet-enabled phones.

A stratified random sampling approach considered geographic (all counties), age (18-24: 13%, 25-35: 48% and 36+: 38%), and gender (68% Males and 32% Females) representation. The sample size was 410 respondents. Advanced statistical analysis was employed to aggregate and interpret the data.

For more information about this survey, our capabilities or to request for data files, please contact us. 

The post Liberia 2023 Elections Online Survey: Perspectives and Preferences of the Liberian People appeared first on GeoPoll.

The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer is an initiative to collect rapid, accurate, and robust data on key social and political issues in developing countries. It uses large-scale face-to-face survey research supported by state-of-the-art technology that streamlines the survey process and ensures data integrity.

The Socio-Political Barometer survey for the second quarter of 2023 was conducted across all provinces of the Democratic Republic of Congo from 5 April to 20 July 2023.

Key Highlights from the Report

• Confidence in the country’s direction has decreased, especially among female respondents.
• President Tshisekedi’s average satisfaction rating has slipped back below 5/10.
• Despite declining perceptions (more prominent among the youth), Tshisekedi maintains strong support for a second term.
• Perceptions of President Tshisekedi’s policy effectiveness, notably in his free education initiative, are consistently improving, reflecting a prevailing sentiment that despite challenging circumstances, he is making significant progress in critical areas.
• There is decreasing willingness to consider alternatives as the focus narrows on preferred candidates.
• A fragmented opposition would be unlikely to challenge Tshisekedi’s re-election.
• Voter turnout is expected to be low, with only 38% intending to vote in the upcoming presidential election. Strong intention to vote correlates with positive views of Tshisekedi.

Download the Report

Fill in your email address here to download GeoPoll’s full report of the findings from this research project for free:

For more information contact [email protected].

République Démocratique du Congo – Enquête Baromètre Socio-Politique GeoPoll Q4 2022

Le Baromètre Socio-Politique de GeoPoll est une initiative visant à recueillir des données rapides, précises et robustes sur les questions sociales et politiques clés dans les pays en développement. Il utilise des enquêtes en face-à-face à grande échelle soutenues par une technologie de pointe qui simplifie le processus d’enquête et garantit l’intégrité des données.

L’enquête du Baromètre Socio-Politique pour le deuxième trimestre 2023 a été menée dans toutes les provinces de la République démocratique du Congo du 5 avril au 20 juillet 2023.

Faits saillants du rapport

• La confiance dans la direction du pays a diminué, notamment parmi les répondantes féminines.
• La note moyenne de satisfaction du Président Tshisekedi est retombée en dessous de 5/10.
• Malgré des perceptions en baisse (plus prononcées chez les jeunes), Tshisekedi bénéficie d’un fort soutien pour un second mandat.
• Les perceptions de l’efficacité des politiques du Président Tshisekedi, notamment dans son initiative d’éducation gratuite, s’améliorent régulièrement, reflétant un sentiment dominant qu’en dépit de circonstances difficiles, il réalise des progrès significatifs dans des domaines critiques.
• Il y a une diminution de la volonté de considérer des alternatives alors que le focus se resserre sur les candidats préférés.
• Une opposition fragmentée aurait peu de chances de contester la réélection de Tshisekedi.
• La participation électorale devrait être faible, avec seulement 38 % ayant l’intention de voter lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle. Une forte intention de voter est liée à des opinions positives envers Tshisekedi.

Télécharger le rapport

Renseignez votre adresse e-mail ici pour télécharger gratuitement le rapport complet de GeoPoll sur les résultats de cette recherche :

The post The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer Survey DRC – Q2 2023 Report appeared first on GeoPoll.

The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer is an initiative to collect rapid, accurate, and robust data on key social and political issues in developing countries. It uses large-scale face-to-face survey research supported by state-of-the-art technology that streamlines the survey process and ensures data integrity. We conducted the second Barometer wave from November to December 2022 and are pleased to present the report!

Key Highlights from the Report

• Access to free education continues to be the leading driver of optimism in the Democratic Republic of Congo. This wave also reveals improved perceptions of the country’s security, roads, schools, hospitals, and sporting prowess.
• Unemployment and insecurity are the most cited dysfunctional areas, closely followed by the state of the country’s roads and rising prices.
• Overall expectations from the government are similar to Q3. However, there has been a significant increase in people demanding better roads, an end to insecurity, and better financial circumstances (i.e., lower prices and higher wages.
• President Tshisekedi’s approval ratings grew from Q3 to Q4, with more people satisfied with his leadership and willing to vote for him in the upcoming elections.
• There are no signs of a significant rehabilitation of President Kabila’s legacy. A head-to-head comparison with President Tshisekedi on all matters shows a wide gap in perceptions of the two figures that are consistent and even growing a little over time
• Some respondents feel there has been an improvement in transparency and accountability from the President, with more care taken when making appointments.

Download the Report

Fill in your email address here to download GeoPoll’s full report of the findings from this research for free:

For more information contact [email protected].

République Démocratique du Congo – Enquête Baromètre Socio-Politique GeoPoll Q4 2022

Le baromètre socio-politique GeoPoll est une initiative visant à collecter des données rapides, précises et robustes sur les principaux problèmes sociaux et politiques dans les pays en développement. Il utilise une recherche par sondage à grande échelle en face à face appuyée par une technologie de pointe qui rationalise le processus d’enquête et garantit l’intégrité des données. Nous avons mené la deuxième vague du Baromètre de novembre à décembre 2022 et sommes heureux de vous présenter le rapport !

Faits saillants du rapport

• L’accès à l’éducation gratuite continue d’être le principal moteur de l’optimisme en République démocratique du Congo. Cette vague révèle également une amélioration des perceptions de la sécurité, des routes, des écoles, des hôpitaux et des prouesses sportives du pays.
• Le chômage et la précarité sont les dysfonctionnements les plus cités, suivis de près par l’état des routes du pays et la hausse des prix.
• Les attentes globales du gouvernement sont similaires à celles du T3. Cependant, il y a eu une augmentation significative du nombre de personnes réclamant de meilleures routes, la fin de l’insécurité et de meilleures finances (c’est-à-dire des prix plus bas et des salaires plus élevés).
• Les cotes d’approbation du président Tshisekedi ont augmenté du troisième au quatrième trimestre, avec plus de personnes satisfaites de son leadership et disposées à voter pour lui lors des prochaines élections.
• Il n’y a aucun signe d’une réhabilitation significative de l’héritage du président Kabila. Une comparaison directe avec le président Tshisekedi sur tous les sujets montre un large écart dans les perceptions des deux chiffres qui sont cohérents et même en croissance un peu au fil du temps
• Certains répondants pensent qu’il y a eu une amélioration de la transparence et de la responsabilité du président, avec plus de soin dans les nominations.

Télécharger le rapport

Renseignez votre adresse e-mail ici pour télécharger gratuitement le rapport complet de GeoPoll sur les résultats de cette recherche :

The post Democratic Republic of the Congo – The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer Survey – Q4 2022 Report appeared first on GeoPoll.

Sampling and Methodology

The Socio-Political Barometer survey for the fourth quarter of 2022 was conducted across all provinces of the Democratic Republic of Congo from 15 November to 18 December 2022. A cluster sampling methodology was applied to draw a sample of 9,253 households across the DRC by means of Geospatial Information System (GIS) based selection. This sampling method is an improvement on wave 1 in terms of accuracy and representativeness, and reflects our ongoing commitment to constantly improving our work in challenging markets. A randomly selected adult member of each household completed a 20-minute face to face interview with a trained and experienced professional interviewer.

Results

The Socio-Political Barometer data collected in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in November and December 2022 surfaced the following key metrics and trends.

In the Democratic Republic of Congo today, what do you think WORKS?

Access to free education continues to be the leading driver of optimism in the DR Congo. This wave also reveals improved perceptions of the country’s security, roads, schools, hospitals and sporting prowess. Potentially, the IGF has featured less in the news this quarter, and hence is less endorsed by respondents.

What do you think DOES NOT WORK?

Unemployment and insecurity are the most cited dysfunctional areas, closely followed by the state of the country’s roads and rising prices. All are cited by more respondents this wave than in July. Security and roads appearing as both functional and dysfunctional areas suggests these are polarizing issues in Congolese society – a positive experience for some and negative for others.

How satisfied are you with President Tshisekedi’s current mandate? Would you grant him a second term at the ballot box?

Only half the respondents believe there is another candidate worth considering, and when pressed to specify, 29% of those said they had not decided who that candidate might be.

For the small minority that were willing to express support for a challenger to President Tshisekedi the leader is Martin Fayulu with 18% support, followed by Moise Katumbi on 16%. Kabila, Matata and Bemba are vying for third place at around 4-5%

Closing Insights

It is not possible to determine if the apparent improvement in perceptions both of the country and the President are due to shifts in perception over time or a result of the improved sampling approach we took. Either way, President Tshisekedi would seem to be in a somewhat stronger position at this point in time than we initially estimated.

Look out for our full report in January 2023.

About GeoPoll

GeoPoll is a full-service market and social research agency that conducts surveys via computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI), computer-assisted personal interviewing (CAPI), short message service (SMS), WhatsApp, and mobile web/mobile application communications. We also conduct online and offline qualitative research.

GeoPoll is currently operational on five continents and employs 104 permanent staff worldwide. Our headquarters is in Denver, Colorado, USA, with a second US office in Washington, DC focused on international development projects. Our largest office is our operations and project management hub in Nairobi, Kenya, with on the ground representatives and coordinators working across eight additional countries. GeoPoll also contracts with carefully selected and rigorously trained partners across the world who bring additional skills, expertise, technology, and capacity as required.

As a member of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR), the Marketing and Social Research Association (MSRA) Kenya, the Pan African Media Research Organisation (PAMRO), the Society for International Development (SID), and the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR), GeoPoll adheres to the strictest ethical and research standards and employs highly rigorous methods and approaches to data collection and analysis.

Our surveys have been cited and analyzed in several highly respected academic journals, such as the Journal of International Public Opinion Research and the Journal of International Development.

For more information contact [email protected].

The post Democratic Republic of the Congo – The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer Survey – Report Preview appeared first on GeoPoll.

GeoPoll lance une enquête baromètre socio-politique en République démocratique du Congo

Le baromètre socio-politique GeoPoll est une initiative visant à collecter des données rapides, précises et solides sur les principaux problèmes sociaux et politiques dans les pays en développement. Il utilise des sondages à grande échelle en face à face, soutenus par une technologie de pointe qui rationalise le processus d’enquête et garantit l’intégrité des données.

Methodologie

Notre première enquête de baromètre socio-politique au Congo a été menée en juillet 2022, interrogeant 10 532 répondants à travers le pays à l’aide de l’application d’intervieweur mobile personnalisée de GeoPoll. L’ échantillone des données ont été collectées dans 33 villes et dans 145 territoires de la République Démocratique du Congo. Grâce à l’application de cette technologie en combinaison avec notre expérience et notre expertise, GeoPoll a étroitement géré et surveillé la qualité de la collecte de données et l’exactitude des données collectées.

Télécharger le rapport gratuit

Resultats

Les résultats de la première série d’entretiens font apparaître plusieurs paramètres et tendances sociopolitiques clés.

Les répondants citent le chômage, la médiocrité des infrastructures et l’insécurité comme les préoccupations les plus pressantes du Congo. Il y a une pression importante sur le Président Felix Tshisekedi pour qu’il progresse dans ces domaines et dans d’autres, d’autant plus qu’il cherche à obtenir un second mandat lors des élections prévues pour 2023.

Un peu plus de la moitié des personnes interrogées expriment leur volonté d’accorder un second mandat au président Tshisekedi, tandis qu’un tiers déclarent ne pas avoir l’intention de voter pour un autre candidat. Bien que les rivaux potentiels aient de solides bases de soutien régionales, aucun d’entre eux ne semble avoir suffisamment de soutien au niveau national pour monter un défi significatif. Les perspectives de réélection du président Tshisekedi semblent donc bonnes à ce stade.

Un aspect de la performance du président actuel sur lequel plus de 80% des personnes interrogées s’accordent est qu’il représente une amélioration significative par rapport à l’administration précédente de Joseph Kabila. Seuls 5% des répondants au niveau national estiment que Kabila serait un candidat viable à la présidence lors des prochaines élections. Les répondants qui pensent que le pays est mieux dirigé sous le président Tshisekedi sont deux fois plus nombreux que ceux qui préfèrent les années Kabila.

Télécharger le rapport

Renseignez votre adresse e-mail ici pour télécharger gratuitement le rapport complet de GeoPoll sur les résultats de cette recherche :

Mener des recherches sociales et politiques avec GeoPoll

GeoPoll est une agence de recherche sociale et de marché à service complet qui mène des enquêtes via des entretiens téléphoniques assistés par ordinateur (CATI), des entretiens personnels assistés par ordinateur (CAPI), un service de messages courts (SMS), WhatsApp et des communications d’applications mobiles Web/mobiles. Nous effectuons également des recherches qualitatives en ligne et hors ligne.

Contactez-nous dès aujourd’hui pour en savoir plus sur nos capacités à collecter des données sur les principaux problèmes sociaux et politiques en République démocratique du Congo et dans les pays en développement du monde entier.

GeoPoll launches a socio-political barometer survey in the Democratic Republic of Congo

The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer is an initiative to collect rapid, accurate, and robust data on key social and political issues in developing countries. It makes use of large-scale face-to-face survey research, supported by state-of-the-art technology that streamlines the survey process and ensures the integrity of the data.

Methodology

Our first Socio-Political Barometer survey in the Democratic Republic of the Congo was conducted in July 2022, interviewing 10,532 respondents across 33 cities and 145 territories across the country using GeoPoll’s custom mobile interviewer application. Through the application of this technology in combination with our experience and expertise, GeoPoll closely managed and monitored the quality of data collection and the accuracy of the data collected.

Download Free Report

Results

Findings from the first round of interviews surface several key socio-political metrics and trends.

Respondents cite unemployment, poor infrastructure, and insecurity as the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s most pressing concerns. There is significant pressure on President Felix Tshisekedi to make progress in these and other areas, especially as he looks to secure a second term in the elections planned for 2023.

Just over half of respondents express a willingness to grant President Tshisekedi a second term, while a third say they have no intention of voting for another candidate. Although potential rivals have strong regional support bases, none of them seem to have enough support at a national level to mount a significant challenge. The prospects for re-election for President Tshisekedi, therefore, seem to be good at this stage.

One aspect of the current president’s performance on which more than 80% of respondents agree is that he represents a significant improvement over the previous administration of Joseph Kabila. Only 5% of respondents at a national level feel that Kabila would be a viable candidate for president in the next elections. Respondents that believe the country is better run under President Tshisekedi outnumber those who prefer the Kabila years by two to one.

Download the Report

Fill in your email address here to download GeoPoll’s full report of the findings from this research for free:

Conduct Social and Political Research with GeoPoll

GeoPoll is a full-service market and social research agency that conducts surveys via computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI), computer-assisted personal interviewing (CAPI), short message service (SMS), WhatsApp, and mobile web/mobile application communications. We also conduct online and offline qualitative research.

Contact us today to learn more about our capabilities to collect data on key social and political issues in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and developing countries across the globe.

The post Democratic Republic of the Congo – The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer Survey appeared first on GeoPoll.